Sunderland vs Middlesbrough analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61.3%
Win probability
2.48
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.1%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.8%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
6.3%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.8%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
3.2%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
17.8%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
5.1%
4-3
1.5%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
21%
18.4%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
18.4%
20.2%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
5%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
11.7%
0-2
2%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5.6%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sunderland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 1933 |
SUN
1 - 2
HUR
59%
20%
21%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 1933 |
BOL
0 - 0
SUN
51%
22%
28%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 1933 |
SUN
0 - 1
DER
59%
19%
22%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | -1 |
| 04 Mar. 1933 |
DER
4 - 4
SUN
65%
17%
18%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 1933 |
SUN
1 - 2
SHW
51%
21%
28%
|
82 | 86 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Middlesbrough
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 1933 |
HUR
0 - 1
MID
54%
21%
25%
|
78 | 84 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 1933 |
MID
2 - 2
BIR
53%
22%
25%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 1933 |
MID
2 - 1
CHL
60%
20%
21%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | +1 |
| 11 Feb. 1933 |
OPA
2 - 0
MID
52%
22%
27%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | -1 |
| 04 Feb. 1933 |
MID
1 - 1
LEI
57%
19%
24%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | 0 |