Sunderland vs Arsenal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
12.6%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.8%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.7%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
3.3%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
9.3%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
20.9%
66.5%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
0-1
14.3%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.9%
0-2
13.6%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20.6%
0-3
8.7%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
11.9%
0-4
4.1%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
5.3%
0-5
1.6%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
2%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sunderland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May. 2008 |
BOL
2 - 0
SUN
54%
25%
21%
|
80 | 85 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2008 |
SUN
3 - 2
MID
41%
29%
31%
|
79 | 85 | 6 | +1 |
| 20 Apr. 2008 |
NEW
2 - 0
SUN
61%
23%
17%
|
80 | 86 | 6 | -1 |
| 12 Apr. 2008 |
SUN
1 - 2
MAC
35%
28%
37%
|
80 | 86 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2008 |
FUL
1 - 3
SUN
57%
23%
21%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Arsenal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 2008 |
ARS
1 - 0
EVE
68%
20%
12%
|
94 | 89 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2008 |
DER
2 - 6
ARS
11%
21%
68%
|
94 | 69 | 25 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2008 |
ARS
2 - 0
REA
75%
17%
9%
|
94 | 83 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2008 |
MUD
2 - 1
ARS
55%
24%
22%
|
94 | 96 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2008 |
LIV
4 - 2
ARS
45%
26%
29%
|
94 | 93 | 1 | 0 |