Sun Pegasus Reserve vs South China Reserve analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62.3%
Win probability
2.61
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.2%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
6.8%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
1.8%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
0.1%
+3
12.2%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
3.5%
5-3
0.9%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
17.8%
1-0
4.5%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
5.4%
4-3
1.7%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.4%
17.8%
Draw
0-0
1.7%
1-1
6.5%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
2.6%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
17.8%
19.9%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
11.4%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
5.5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sun Pegasus Reserve
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 2017 |
PEG
1 - 1
YLO
87%
9%
5%
|
33 | 19 | 14 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2017 |
SCH
4 - 0
PEG
29%
21%
50%
|
35 | 25 | 10 | -2 |
| 28 Dec. 2016 |
PEG
1 - 14
KIT
47%
21%
33%
|
37 | 39 | 2 | -2 |
| 07 Dec. 2016 |
PEG
0 - 3
ESA
84%
10%
6%
|
39 | 23 | 16 | -2 |
| 30 Nov. 2016 |
PEG
2 - 2
WTP
80%
12%
8%
|
39 | 26 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
South China Reserve
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jan. 2017 |
SCH
4 - 0
PEG
29%
21%
50%
|
25 | 35 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 2016 |
YLO
5 - 1
SCH
15%
16%
69%
|
28 | 15 | 13 | -3 |
| 14 Dec. 2016 |
SCH
1 - 1
SOU
89%
8%
4%
|
29 | 15 | 14 | -1 |
| 07 Dec. 2016 |
KIT
3 - 0
SCH
78%
12%
10%
|
29 | 39 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2016 |
SCH
1 - 2
RRE
13%
17%
70%
|
29 | 46 | 17 | 0 |