Sun Pegasus Reserve vs Kitchee Reserve analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64.5%
Win probability
2.33
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.8%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.4%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.4%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.1%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.3%
18.7%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.7%
16.8%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
10.7%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-29%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sun Pegasus Reserve
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 2014 |
YLO
5 - 1
PEG
26%
23%
52%
|
38 | 25 | 13 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2013 |
PEG
1 - 2
HVR
49%
22%
29%
|
39 | 39 | 0 | -1 |
| 11 Dec. 2013 |
ESA
1 - 2
PEG
31%
24%
46%
|
39 | 29 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2013 |
PEG
4 - 2
CAR
37%
25%
38%
|
37 | 43 | 6 | +2 |
| 27 Nov. 2013 |
PEG
0 - 2
DRE
28%
24%
48%
|
39 | 48 | 9 | -2 |
Matches
Kitchee Reserve
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 2014 |
DRE
3 - 1
KIT
80%
13%
7%
|
29 | 52 | 23 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2013 |
SCR
6 - 1
KIT
77%
14%
9%
|
30 | 45 | 15 | -1 |
| 11 Dec. 2013 |
RRE
4 - 2
KIT
77%
15%
8%
|
30 | 52 | 22 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2013 |
ESA
1 - 1
KIT
48%
23%
30%
|
30 | 29 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2013 |
KIT
2 - 4
SOU
57%
21%
22%
|
32 | 29 | 3 | -2 |