Sun Pegasus Reserve vs Dreams Reserve analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60.5%
Win probability
2.62
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
0.1%
+5
3%
4-0
3%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
6.5%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
1.9%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
0.1%
+3
11.7%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
3.7%
5-3
1%
6-4
0.2%
7-5
<0%
+2
17.3%
1-0
4%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
5.6%
4-3
1.9%
5-4
0.4%
6-5
0.1%
+1
20.1%
17.9%
Draw
0-0
1.5%
1-1
6.3%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
2.9%
4-4
0.7%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
17.9%
21.5%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
11.9%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0.1%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
-16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sun Pegasus Reserve
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 2016 |
WTS
2 - 0
PEG
28%
21%
51%
|
41 | 32 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2016 |
PEG
1 - 0
RRE
26%
21%
53%
|
38 | 46 | 8 | +3 |
| 06 Apr. 2016 |
PEG
1 - 1
SOU
90%
7%
3%
|
39 | 16 | 23 | -1 |
| 23 Mar. 2016 |
RRE
6 - 2
PEG
65%
19%
16%
|
41 | 47 | 6 | -2 |
| 02 Mar. 2016 |
PEG
3 - 1
ESA
84%
10%
6%
|
42 | 24 | 18 | -1 |
Matches
Dreams Reserve
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2016 |
DRE
1 - 3
WTS
67%
17%
16%
|
35 | 29 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2016 |
SOU
3 - 3
DRE
7%
11%
82%
|
36 | 15 | 21 | -1 |
| 02 Mar. 2016 |
DRE
0 - 4
RRE
29%
22%
50%
|
38 | 46 | 8 | -2 |
| 24 Feb. 2016 |
ESA
3 - 2
DRE
10%
13%
77%
|
41 | 22 | 19 | -3 |
| 27 Jan. 2016 |
DRE
2 - 1
YLO
88%
8%
4%
|
40 | 15 | 25 | +1 |