Sun Pegasus Reserve vs Dreams Reserve analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
27.9%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.7%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.8%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.5%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
47.9%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.5%
0-2
7.8%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14.6%
0-3
4.3%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-29%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sun Pegasus Reserve
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 2013 |
SOU
1 - 2
PEG
33%
24%
43%
|
38 | 30 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2013 |
SCH
1 - 0
PEG
53%
23%
24%
|
39 | 41 | 2 | -1 |
| 06 Nov. 2013 |
TMR
2 - 4
PEG
48%
23%
30%
|
38 | 35 | 3 | +1 |
| 30 Oct. 2013 |
PEG
0 - 5
RRE
27%
25%
49%
|
40 | 50 | 10 | -2 |
| 23 Oct. 2013 |
SCR
3 - 0
PEG
56%
23%
22%
|
41 | 44 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Dreams Reserve
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 2013 |
DRE
3 - 3
CAR
58%
22%
20%
|
49 | 44 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2013 |
ESA
1 - 3
DRE
20%
23%
57%
|
48 | 31 | 17 | +1 |
| 30 Oct. 2013 |
DRE
5 - 2
HVR
58%
22%
21%
|
47 | 42 | 5 | +1 |
| 23 Oct. 2013 |
DRE
3 - 1
SOU
74%
16%
9%
|
47 | 29 | 18 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2013 |
TMR
0 - 10
DRE
31%
25%
44%
|
46 | 37 | 9 | +1 |