Sumgayit vs FK Sabail analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.9%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
5%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.4%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.5%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
25%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25%
24.1%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.4%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-32%
-32%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
31
7º
10º
8º
29
5º
10º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
90 | 90 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
81 | 81 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
68 | 68 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
50 | 50 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
50 | 50 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
39 | 39 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
31 | 31 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
31 | 31 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
29 | 29 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
25 | 25 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sumgayit
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 2023 |
FCK
0 - 1
SUM
34%
29%
37%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2023 |
SUM
2 - 3
FKQ
20%
25%
55%
|
61 | 73 | 12 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2023 |
SHA
0 - 0
SUM
41%
28%
31%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2023 |
SUM
0 - 4
FKN
25%
28%
47%
|
62 | 73 | 11 | -1 |
| 31 Mar. 2023 |
TUR
2 - 3
SUM
42%
27%
31%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
FK Sabail
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 2023 |
FKQ
4 - 2
SEB
66%
21%
13%
|
59 | 73 | 14 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2023 |
SEB
0 - 1
FKQ
16%
20%
64%
|
59 | 74 | 15 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
SEB
1 - 1
FKN
22%
27%
51%
|
59 | 72 | 13 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2023 |
FKQ
3 - 2
SEB
68%
19%
12%
|
59 | 74 | 15 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2023 |
ZIR
3 - 1
SEB
66%
21%
13%
|
59 | 73 | 14 | 0 |