Sumgayit vs Ravan Baku analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39.2%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.7%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.5%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.9%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
35%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
8%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.6%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.1%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sumgayit
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 2013 |
AZA
1 - 0
SUM
63%
22%
15%
|
60 | 72 | 12 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2013 |
SUM
2 - 1
FKQ
29%
28%
43%
|
59 | 70 | 11 | +1 |
| 11 Aug. 2013 |
QAR
5 - 1
SUM
62%
23%
15%
|
59 | 73 | 14 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2013 |
SUM
1 - 1
KHA
29%
28%
43%
|
60 | 70 | 10 | -1 |
| 20 May. 2013 |
TUR
2 - 1
SUM
37%
26%
37%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Ravan Baku
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2013 |
REV
1 - 5
SHA
36%
27%
36%
|
62 | 71 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2013 |
FKB
5 - 0
REV
50%
26%
25%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | -1 |
| 10 Aug. 2013 |
REV
0 - 2
FKN
36%
27%
37%
|
64 | 71 | 7 | -1 |
| 03 Aug. 2013 |
SIM
2 - 0
REV
43%
27%
30%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | -1 |
| 20 May. 2013 |
KHA
1 - 2
REV
57%
24%
20%
|
65 | 73 | 8 | 0 |