Sumgayit vs Gabala FK analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
17.4%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
4.4%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
12.3%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
24.4%
58.2%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
0-1
14.7%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26.2%
0-2
12.1%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18%
0-3
6.6%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
9%
0-4
2.7%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.5%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-32%
+8%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
31
7º
10º
8º
50
1º
6º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
90 | 90 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
81 | 81 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
68 | 68 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
50 | 50 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
50 | 50 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
39 | 39 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
31 | 31 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
31 | 31 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
29 | 29 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
25 | 25 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sumgayit
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Nov. 2022 |
FCK
1 - 0
SUM
19%
23%
57%
|
61 | 51 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2022 |
SHA
4 - 2
SUM
42%
28%
30%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | -1 |
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
SUM
2 - 2
FKN
21%
27%
52%
|
62 | 73 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2022 |
TUR
1 - 0
SUM
31%
28%
42%
|
63 | 56 | 7 | -1 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
SUM
0 - 2
ZIR
24%
28%
47%
|
63 | 73 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Gabala FK
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Nov. 2022 |
FKQ
5 - 0
ARA
59%
21%
19%
|
73 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
FKN
2 - 0
FKQ
45%
25%
29%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
FKQ
1 - 0
ZIR
44%
28%
28%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2022 |
SFK
2 - 1
FKQ
45%
25%
29%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
FKQ
1 - 1
FCK
78%
16%
6%
|
73 | 49 | 24 | 0 |