Sumgayit vs Neftçi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
24.8%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.6%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.1%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
16.6%
28.4%
Draw
0-0
11.4%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
28.4%
46.8%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
14.9%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
25%
0-2
9.7%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
13.9%
0-3
4.2%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
5.5%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-32%
+4%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
31
7º
10º
8º
68
2º
4º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
90 | 90 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
81 | 81 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
68 | 68 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
50 | 50 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
50 | 50 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
39 | 39 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
31 | 31 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
31 | 31 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
29 | 29 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
25 | 25 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sumgayit
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 2023 |
TUR
2 - 3
SUM
42%
27%
31%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2023 |
SUM
0 - 6
QAR
21%
26%
54%
|
62 | 73 | 11 | -1 |
| 10 Mar. 2023 |
SFK
4 - 0
SUM
67%
21%
12%
|
62 | 72 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
SEB
0 - 1
SUM
41%
28%
32%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
SUM
1 - 2
FCK
60%
24%
17%
|
62 | 54 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Neftçi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 2023 |
ZIR
1 - 1
FKN
46%
28%
26%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2023 |
FKN
2 - 2
FCK
78%
15%
7%
|
73 | 55 | 18 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2023 |
SHA
0 - 1
FKN
24%
29%
48%
|
73 | 62 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
FKN
4 - 0
TUR
74%
17%
9%
|
73 | 60 | 13 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2023 |
QAR
1 - 1
FKN
51%
26%
24%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |