Sumgayit vs FK Neftchala analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.5%
Win probability
2.14
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.2%
3-0
6%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.8%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
7%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.9%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.4%
20.1%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.4%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sumgayit
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 2011 |
FKQ
1 - 0
SUM
60%
21%
19%
|
51 | 59 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2011 |
SUM
0 - 1
REV
31%
26%
42%
|
51 | 62 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2010 |
BAK
2 - 0
SUM
55%
23%
22%
|
52 | 56 | 4 | -1 |
| 28 Nov. 2010 |
SUM
0 - 4
ABS
37%
27%
36%
|
53 | 62 | 9 | -1 |
| 20 Nov. 2010 |
SHA
1 - 2
SUM
47%
25%
28%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
FK Neftchala
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 2011 |
FKN
2 - 0
GEY
66%
19%
15%
|
47 | 39 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2010 |
FKN
3 - 1
ENE
57%
22%
22%
|
46 | 42 | 4 | +1 |
| 29 Nov. 2010 |
ADL
2 - 2
FKN
46%
23%
31%
|
46 | 45 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2010 |
FKN
0 - 2
FKQ
33%
26%
41%
|
46 | 57 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2010 |
BAK
5 - 1
FKN
62%
20%
18%
|
47 | 54 | 7 | -1 |