Sulmona vs Fermana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
36%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.6%
1-0
7%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
11%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
40%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.2%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.9%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.3%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sulmona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 2014 |
ASC
1 - 2
MAT
27%
25%
48%
|
34 | 45 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2014 |
VIS
1 - 1
ASC
61%
21%
18%
|
34 | 43 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2014 |
ASC
0 - 2
FAN
55%
22%
24%
|
35 | 32 | 3 | -1 |
| 12 Jan. 2014 |
OLY
1 - 0
ASC
43%
23%
34%
|
36 | 32 | 4 | -1 |
| 05 Jan. 2014 |
ASC
0 - 0
ISE
70%
18%
13%
|
36 | 26 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Fermana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 2014 |
FER
1 - 0
GIU
63%
20%
17%
|
38 | 35 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2014 |
ISE
0 - 0
FER
26%
23%
51%
|
39 | 28 | 11 | -1 |
| 12 Jan. 2014 |
FER
0 - 4
MAC
49%
24%
27%
|
41 | 41 | 0 | -2 |
| 04 Jan. 2014 |
REC
1 - 1
FER
20%
23%
58%
|
41 | 28 | 13 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2013 |
JES
1 - 0
FER
29%
24%
47%
|
42 | 35 | 7 | -1 |