Sul América vs Manicoré analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.3%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.1%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
7%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.5%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.4%
18.5%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
11.8%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-61%
-44%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sul América
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 2010 |
SUL
1 - 1
COM
68%
18%
14%
|
35 | 23 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2010 |
NAC
2 - 1
SUL
71%
17%
12%
|
35 | 48 | 13 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2010 |
SUL
3 - 1
SAO
21%
22%
57%
|
29 | 50 | 21 | +6 |
| 07 Mar. 2010 |
PRI
1 - 2
SUL
67%
19%
14%
|
27 | 44 | 17 | +2 |
| 03 Mar. 2010 |
AME
0 - 1
SUL
68%
18%
14%
|
26 | 39 | 13 | +1 |
Matches
Manicoré
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 2010 |
MAN
5 - 1
ASA
77%
14%
8%
|
26 | 7 | 19 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2010 |
FAS
3 - 1
MAN
73%
17%
10%
|
27 | 47 | 20 | -1 |
| 14 Mar. 2010 |
PEN
2 - 0
MAN
70%
18%
12%
|
27 | 45 | 18 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2010 |
MAN
3 - 3
AME
32%
25%
44%
|
27 | 38 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2010 |
COM
2 - 1
MAN
36%
24%
40%
|
28 | 22 | 6 | -1 |