Sul América vs Manicoré analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.2%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.5%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.6%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.7%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.9%
28.8%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
7%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.2%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-61%
-44%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sul América
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 2009 |
SUL
1 - 6
NAC
15%
19%
66%
|
25 | 53 | 28 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2009 |
SUL
2 - 4
PRI
26%
24%
50%
|
27 | 44 | 17 | -2 |
| 28 Mar. 2009 |
HOL
0 - 0
SUL
67%
18%
15%
|
26 | 41 | 15 | +1 |
| 22 Mar. 2009 |
PEN
2 - 3
SUL
72%
17%
11%
|
25 | 46 | 21 | +1 |
| 14 Mar. 2009 |
FAS
2 - 0
SUL
69%
18%
13%
|
25 | 42 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Manicoré
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 2009 |
MAN
2 - 3
PEN
26%
24%
50%
|
27 | 45 | 18 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2009 |
FAS
5 - 2
MAN
71%
17%
12%
|
28 | 45 | 17 | -1 |
| 28 Mar. 2009 |
MAN
2 - 1
SAO
17%
22%
61%
|
22 | 51 | 29 | +6 |
| 21 Mar. 2009 |
AME
2 - 0
MAN
70%
17%
14%
|
22 | 29 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2009 |
MAN
2 - 0
RIO
25%
24%
52%
|
19 | 35 | 16 | +3 |