Sul América vs Fast Clube analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
16.2%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.1%
2-0
2.2%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.9%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
4.5%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.9%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.6%
63.2%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
0-1
10.6%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
24.1%
0-2
10.8%
1-3
6.7%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
19.3%
0-3
7.3%
1-4
3.4%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11.5%
0-4
3.7%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.4%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.1%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-47%
-28%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sul América
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 2007 |
NAC
4 - 1
SUL
83%
11%
5%
|
26 | 55 | 29 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2006 |
SUL
1 - 2
SAO
14%
19%
67%
|
27 | 56 | 29 | -1 |
| 23 Mar. 2006 |
SUL
5 - 1
CLI
68%
17%
15%
|
27 | 16 | 11 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2006 |
FAS
1 - 1
SUL
82%
12%
6%
|
26 | 51 | 25 | +1 |
| 15 Mar. 2006 |
SUL
2 - 1
LIB
64%
19%
17%
|
26 | 17 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Fast Clube
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2007 |
FAS
2 - 2
PRI
60%
21%
20%
|
48 | 41 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2007 |
VAS
6 - 0
FAS
86%
11%
4%
|
49 | 81 | 32 | -1 |
| 14 Feb. 2007 |
FAS
1 - 2
VAS
10%
17%
73%
|
49 | 81 | 32 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2006 |
FAS
3 - 1
AMA
67%
19%
14%
|
48 | 39 | 9 | +1 |
| 02 Aug. 2006 |
SAO
1 - 0
FAS
23%
24%
53%
|
50 | 36 | 14 | -2 |