Sukhothai vs Nongbua Pitchaya analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39.2%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.5%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.1%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
34.7%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.6%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.9%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-23%
-38%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
34
9º
16º
10º
18
13º
16º
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
16º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
72 | 72 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
62 | 62 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
53 | 53 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
47 | 50 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
45 | 45 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
44 | 44 |
6º
|
84% | |
|
7º
|
41 | 41 |
7º
|
84% | |
|
8º
|
41 | 41 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
39 | 39 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
11º
|
34 | 35 |
10º
|
51.5% | |
|
10º
|
34 | 34 |
11º
|
51.5% | |
|
13º
|
32 | 33 |
12º
|
0% | |
|
12º
|
33 | 33 |
13º
|
48.5% | |
|
14º
|
30 | 30 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
|
16º
|
18 | 21 |
15º
|
50.5% | |
|
15º
|
19 | 19 |
16º
|
50.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
AFC Champions League
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sukhothai
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Nov. 2022 |
CHI
0 - 0
SUK
15%
20%
65%
|
56 | 44 | 12 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2022 |
BAN
0 - 1
SUK
63%
21%
16%
|
55 | 62 | 7 | +1 |
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
SUK
1 - 0
BEC
30%
26%
44%
|
54 | 60 | 6 | +1 |
| 02 Nov. 2022 |
SIN
3 - 0
SUK
65%
19%
16%
|
55 | 62 | 7 | -1 |
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
CHO
1 - 1
SUK
62%
22%
17%
|
54 | 62 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Nongbua Pitchaya
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Nov. 2022 |
RAY
1 - 2
NBP
15%
21%
64%
|
59 | 47 | 12 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
NBP
2 - 2
MUA
30%
28%
43%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
NBP
3 - 1
PRA
40%
27%
34%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | +1 |
| 02 Nov. 2022 |
UUT
1 - 4
NBP
7%
14%
80%
|
57 | 30 | 27 | +1 |
| 28 Oct. 2022 |
BEC
2 - 1
NBP
47%
27%
27%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | -1 |