La Suerte vs Guajira analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
72.5%
Win probability
2.22
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.1%
4-0
5.5%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.5%
3-0
10%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.4%
2-0
13.5%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.8%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
17.6%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
17.6%
9.9%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.4%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
La Suerte
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
TUR
3 - 2
LAS
44%
24%
32%
|
50 | 47 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
LAS
0 - 1
CAR
63%
21%
16%
|
51 | 40 | 11 | -1 |
| 25 Feb. 2012 |
PAR
0 - 0
LAS
26%
24%
51%
|
51 | 37 | 14 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2012 |
LAS
0 - 1
TUR
58%
22%
20%
|
52 | 46 | 6 | -1 |
| 12 Feb. 2012 |
JFC
3 - 1
LAS
42%
24%
35%
|
53 | 48 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Guajira
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
GUA
3 - 6
CAR
28%
23%
48%
|
31 | 42 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2012 |
PAR
1 - 0
GUA
66%
19%
16%
|
31 | 39 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2012 |
GUA
4 - 5
TUR
25%
25%
50%
|
33 | 46 | 13 | -2 |
| 25 Feb. 2012 |
GUA
1 - 1
UNI
16%
21%
63%
|
32 | 56 | 24 | +1 |
| 22 Feb. 2012 |
GUA
0 - 3
JFC
23%
24%
53%
|
34 | 48 | 14 | -2 |