Sweden U19 vs Wales U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.6%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.6%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.7%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.7%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.8%
28.6%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
7%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.1%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sweden U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Nov. 2018 |
SWE
2 - 1
SMR
77%
15%
8%
|
50 | 19 | 31 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2018 |
SRB
3 - 2
SWE
65%
20%
15%
|
51 | 61 | 10 | -1 |
| 24 Mar. 2018 |
ROU
2 - 1
SWE
37%
24%
39%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | -1 |
| 21 Mar. 2018 |
SWE
0 - 0
UKR
22%
21%
56%
|
52 | 59 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2017 |
SWE
2 - 3
ITA
23%
22%
55%
|
53 | 61 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Wales U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Nov. 2018 |
WAL
1 - 2
SCO
27%
23%
51%
|
47 | 54 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2017 |
KAZ
3 - 2
WAL
17%
20%
63%
|
48 | 33 | 15 | -1 |
| 10 Nov. 2017 |
TUR
2 - 1
WAL
68%
19%
14%
|
48 | 63 | 15 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2017 |
WAL
1 - 2
SVK
21%
21%
59%
|
49 | 59 | 10 | -1 |
| 15 Nov. 2016 |
LUX
2 - 6
WAL
18%
22%
60%
|
48 | 36 | 12 | +1 |