Suecia U21 vs Lituania U21 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
82.7%
Win probability
2.67
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
2.1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.5%
5-0
4.6%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.8%
4-0
8.7%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.4%
3-0
13%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.2%
2-0
14.6%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.7%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.6%
12.2%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
5.7%
2-2
2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
12.2%
5.1%
Win probability
0.53
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
1.5%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
4.1%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Suecia U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2011 |
LTU
0 - 1
SWE
11%
19%
70%
|
75 | 47 | 28 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2011 |
SWE
3 - 0
NED
43%
26%
31%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | +1 |
| 06 Jun. 2011 |
SWE
2 - 1
SRB
51%
23%
25%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2011 |
NOR
1 - 4
SWE
39%
26%
35%
|
73 | 67 | 6 | +1 |
| 24 Mar. 2011 |
ITA
3 - 1
SWE
59%
24%
17%
|
74 | 82 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Lituania U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2011 |
LTU
0 - 1
SWE
11%
19%
70%
|
47 | 75 | 28 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 2011 |
LTU
1 - 1
KSA
25%
24%
51%
|
47 | 58 | 11 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2011 |
LTU
1 - 2
MLT
62%
22%
16%
|
48 | 39 | 9 | -1 |
| 03 Jun. 2011 |
LTU
0 - 1
SVN
35%
27%
39%
|
48 | 56 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2011 |
BLR
0 - 2
LTU
79%
14%
7%
|
47 | 69 | 22 | +1 |