Süderelbe vs Union Tornesch analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
73.7%
Win probability
2.89
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.3%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
1.6%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
0.1%
+5
5.1%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
3.4%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
9.8%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
5.9%
5-2
1.9%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.5%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3.3%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.9%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.8%
14.5%
Draw
0-0
1.8%
1-1
5.9%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
14.5%
11.8%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
7.6%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+41%
-3%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
54
6º
17º
7º
40
9º
16º
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
13º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
79 | 82 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
74 | 77 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
70 | 73 |
3º
|
99% | |
|
5º
|
67 | 70 |
4º
|
65% | |
|
4º
|
68 | 69 |
5º
|
66% | |
|
6º
|
63 | 63 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
54 | 57 |
7º
|
59.5% | |
|
8º
|
54 | 54 |
8º
|
59.5% | |
|
10º
|
47 | 50 |
9º
|
78% | |
|
9º
|
48 | 48 |
10º
|
78% | |
|
11º
|
43 | 46 |
11º
|
90% | |
|
12º
|
41 | 41 |
12º
|
84.5% | |
|
|
13º
|
40 | 40 |
13º
|
92.5% | |
|
14º
|
39 | 39 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
35 | 35 |
15º
|
78.5% | |
|
16º
|
33 | 33 |
16º
|
68.5% | |
|
17º
|
31 | 31 |
17º
|
90% | |
|
19º
|
23 | 24 |
18º
|
54.5% | |
|
18º
|
23 | 23 |
19º
|
54.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Süderelbe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2022 |
SUD
2 - 2
VHG
23%
20%
58%
|
25 | 36 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2022 |
WAN
2 - 0
SUD
59%
20%
21%
|
25 | 31 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2022 |
SUD
1 - 2
EIM
15%
17%
67%
|
26 | 46 | 20 | -1 |
| 26 Aug. 2022 |
SUD
0 - 0
DAS
12%
16%
72%
|
24 | 46 | 22 | +2 |
| 23 Aug. 2022 |
BUC
2 - 0
SUD
21%
20%
60%
|
26 | 18 | 8 | -2 |
Matches
Union Tornesch
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2022 |
UTO
1 - 2
PAL
18%
20%
62%
|
20 | 34 | 14 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
RUG
1 - 6
UTO
64%
19%
18%
|
19 | 23 | 4 | +1 |
| 13 Sep. 2022 |
UTO
1 - 6
SAS
12%
17%
71%
|
20 | 38 | 18 | -1 |
| 09 Sep. 2022 |
VHG
1 - 0
UTO
85%
10%
5%
|
20 | 35 | 15 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2022 |
UTO
0 - 3
WIL
38%
21%
41%
|
21 | 25 | 4 | -1 |