Süderelbe vs Hamburger SV III analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
79.2%
Win probability
3.42
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.7%
7-0
1.1%
8-1
0.5%
9-2
0.1%
10-3
<0%
+7
1.8%
6-0
2.2%
7-1
1.3%
8-2
0.3%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.9%
5-0
3.9%
6-1
2.6%
7-2
0.8%
8-3
0.1%
9-4
<0%
+5
7.4%
4-0
5.7%
5-1
4.6%
6-2
1.6%
7-3
0.3%
8-4
<0%
+4
12.2%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
6.8%
5-2
2.7%
6-3
0.6%
7-4
0.1%
+3
16.9%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
4%
5-3
1.1%
6-4
0.2%
7-5
<0%
+2
19%
1-0
3.4%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.6%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
17%
11.6%
Draw
0-0
1%
1-1
4.1%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
11.6%
9.1%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
1.2%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
5.9%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+54%
-37%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
44
8º
18º
10º
12
16º
18º
18º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
18º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
82 | 82 |
1º
|
0% | |
|
1º
|
82 | 82 |
2º
|
0% | |
|
3º
|
70 | 70 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
70 | 70 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
63 | 63 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
61 | 61 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
51 | 51 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
50 | 50 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
46 | 46 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
44 | 44 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
41 | 41 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
40 | 40 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
36 | 36 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
35 | 35 |
14º
|
0% | |
|
15º
|
35 | 35 |
15º
|
0% | |
|
16º
|
29 | 29 |
16º
|
100% | |
|
17º
|
25 | 25 |
17º
|
100% | |
|
|
18º
|
12 | 12 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Süderelbe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
HAL
6 - 3
SUD
41%
22%
37%
|
36 | 36 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2024 |
SUD
2 - 6
DAS
14%
18%
68%
|
37 | 54 | 17 | -1 |
| 30 Aug. 2024 |
WAN
0 - 1
SUD
23%
19%
58%
|
36 | 26 | 10 | +1 |
| 23 Aug. 2024 |
SUD
2 - 3
PAL
56%
20%
24%
|
36 | 38 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2024 |
VHG
2 - 1
SUD
58%
18%
23%
|
37 | 39 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Hamburger SV III
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
HAM
0 - 3
SAS
14%
17%
69%
|
25 | 46 | 21 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2024 |
HAM
2 - 6
BUC
27%
20%
53%
|
25 | 37 | 12 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
VOW
7 - 2
HAM
80%
11%
9%
|
26 | 37 | 11 | -1 |
| 16 Aug. 2024 |
HAM
1 - 2
ATB
69%
15%
16%
|
26 | 22 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2024 |
THA
3 - 1
HAM
41%
22%
37%
|
27 | 30 | 3 | -1 |