Süderelbe vs Hamburger SV III analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
38.7%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
3.5%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
11.5%
1-0
3.5%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
4.9%
4-3
1.7%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.5%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
1.7%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
7.3%
3-3
3.3%
4-4
0.9%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
20.5%
40.8%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
5%
3-4
1.7%
4-5
0.4%
5-6
0%
-1
18%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
5%
2-4
2.6%
3-5
0.7%
4-6
0.1%
5-7
0%
-2
12.1%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
6.4%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0.1%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+19%
-70%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
54
6º
17º
7º
31
10º
16º
17º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
17º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
79 | 82 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
74 | 77 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
70 | 73 |
3º
|
99% | |
|
5º
|
67 | 70 |
4º
|
65% | |
|
4º
|
68 | 69 |
5º
|
66% | |
|
6º
|
63 | 63 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
54 | 57 |
7º
|
59.5% | |
|
8º
|
54 | 54 |
8º
|
59.5% | |
|
10º
|
47 | 50 |
9º
|
78% | |
|
9º
|
48 | 48 |
10º
|
78% | |
|
11º
|
43 | 46 |
11º
|
90% | |
|
12º
|
41 | 41 |
12º
|
84.5% | |
|
13º
|
40 | 40 |
13º
|
92.5% | |
|
14º
|
39 | 39 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
35 | 35 |
15º
|
78.5% | |
|
16º
|
33 | 33 |
16º
|
68.5% | |
|
|
17º
|
31 | 31 |
17º
|
90% | |
|
19º
|
23 | 24 |
18º
|
54.5% | |
|
18º
|
23 | 23 |
19º
|
54.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Süderelbe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Aug. 2022 |
NIE
6 - 2
SUD
73%
16%
11%
|
25 | 40 | 15 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2022 |
SUD
1 - 2
PAL
33%
22%
45%
|
25 | 33 | 8 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2022 |
SAS
4 - 0
SUD
77%
13%
10%
|
26 | 36 | 10 | -1 |
| 13 May. 2022 |
SUD
4 - 2
MEI
92%
6%
2%
|
26 | 9 | 17 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2022 |
BRA
1 - 2
SUD
14%
17%
69%
|
25 | 15 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Hamburger SV III
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Aug. 2022 |
HAM
3 - 0
RUG
58%
19%
23%
|
26 | 26 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2022 |
VHG
3 - 2
HAM
68%
16%
16%
|
26 | 34 | 8 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2022 |
HAM
0 - 2
WAN
53%
20%
27%
|
27 | 29 | 2 | -1 |
| 13 May. 2022 |
BAR
2 - 2
HAM
13%
16%
70%
|
27 | 17 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2022 |
HAM
5 - 3
BRA
88%
8%
4%
|
28 | 16 | 12 | -1 |