Süderelbe vs Türkiye Wilhelmsburg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.9%
Win probability
2.6
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
0.1%
+5
2.7%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
5.9%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
1.9%
6-3
0.5%
7-4
0.1%
+3
10.8%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
3.7%
5-3
1.1%
6-4
0.2%
7-5
<0%
+2
16.3%
1-0
3.5%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
5.8%
4-3
2.1%
5-4
0.5%
6-5
0.1%
+1
19.7%
18.3%
Draw
0-0
1.3%
1-1
6%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
3.3%
4-4
0.9%
5-5
0.2%
6-6
<0%
0
18.3%
24.7%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
1.4%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
13%
0-2
2%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
5-7
0%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+54%
-25%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
44
8º
18º
10º
36
6º
15º
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
13º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
82 | 82 |
1º
|
0% | |
|
1º
|
82 | 82 |
2º
|
0% | |
|
3º
|
70 | 70 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
70 | 70 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
63 | 63 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
61 | 61 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
51 | 51 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
50 | 50 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
46 | 46 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
44 | 44 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
41 | 41 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
40 | 40 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
|
13º
|
36 | 36 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
35 | 35 |
14º
|
0% | |
|
15º
|
35 | 35 |
15º
|
0% | |
|
16º
|
29 | 29 |
16º
|
100% | |
|
17º
|
25 | 25 |
17º
|
100% | |
|
18º
|
12 | 12 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Süderelbe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
ETH
4 - 1
SUD
63%
19%
18%
|
35 | 46 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2024 |
SUD
3 - 4
HAM
79%
12%
9%
|
35 | 24 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
HAL
6 - 3
SUD
41%
22%
37%
|
36 | 36 | 0 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 2024 |
SUD
2 - 6
DAS
14%
18%
68%
|
37 | 54 | 17 | -1 |
| 30 Aug. 2024 |
WAN
0 - 1
SUD
23%
19%
58%
|
36 | 26 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Türkiye Wilhelmsburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
WIL
3 - 6
SAS
34%
23%
43%
|
37 | 45 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2024 |
EIM
6 - 0
WIL
58%
21%
21%
|
37 | 44 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
WIL
5 - 3
BUC
36%
21%
44%
|
35 | 41 | 6 | +2 |
| 03 Sep. 2024 |
VOW
2 - 4
WIL
70%
15%
15%
|
33 | 37 | 4 | +2 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
WIL
4 - 0
ATB
73%
15%
12%
|
33 | 21 | 12 | 0 |