Sud FC vs Aigues Mortes analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
13.6%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
1.8%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.2%
1-0
4%
2-1
3.9%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
9.4%
18.8%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.8%
67.7%
Win probability
2.2
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
23.6%
0-2
11.2%
1-3
7.2%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
20.3%
0-3
8.2%
1-4
4%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
13%
0-4
4.5%
1-5
1.7%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
6.6%
0-5
2%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.7%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+423%
-30%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
26
10º
14º
11º
25
6º
14º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
60 | 63 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
50 | 50 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
45 | 46 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
42 | 43 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
40 | 40 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
35 | 35 |
6º
|
39% | |
|
7º
|
35 | 35 |
7º
|
39% | |
|
9º
|
31 | 34 |
8º
|
67.5% | |
|
8º
|
32 | 33 |
9º
|
67.5% | |
|
10º
|
30 | 30 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
|
11º
|
26 | 26 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
|
12º
|
25 | 25 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
24 | 24 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
21 | 21 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sud FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
SFC
2 - 3
MON
11%
17%
72%
|
9 | 40 | 31 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
MAR
4 - 0
SFC
85%
10%
5%
|
9 | 40 | 31 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
SFC
1 - 2
ESF
11%
17%
72%
|
9 | 29 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
Aigues Mortes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
SAM
2 - 2
LUC
37%
23%
41%
|
35 | 40 | 5 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
MON
0 - 1
SAM
65%
18%
17%
|
33 | 40 | 7 | +2 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
SAM
2 - 2
COR
52%
21%
27%
|
33 | 31 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2023 |
SAM
3 - 0
FCA
44%
22%
33%
|
31 | 33 | 2 | +2 |
| 27 May. 2023 |
TOU
1 - 1
SAM
72%
16%
11%
|
31 | 42 | 11 | 0 |