Sud FC vs Stade Beaucairois analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
13.8%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1%
2-0
1.6%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
3.5%
1-0
3%
2-1
3.9%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
0.1%
+1
9%
16.9%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16.9%
69.3%
Win probability
2.52
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
4.1%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
21.7%
0-2
9%
1-3
7.9%
2-4
2.6%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
19.9%
0-3
7.5%
1-4
5%
2-5
1.3%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
14%
0-4
4.7%
1-5
2.5%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
7.8%
0-5
2.4%
1-6
1%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
3.6%
0-6
1%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0.1%
-6
1.4%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.5%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+423%
-36%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
26
10º
14º
11º
35
3º
11º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
60 | 63 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
50 | 50 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
45 | 46 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
42 | 43 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
40 | 40 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
35 | 35 |
6º
|
39% | |
|
7º
|
35 | 35 |
7º
|
39% | |
|
9º
|
31 | 34 |
8º
|
67.5% | |
|
8º
|
32 | 33 |
9º
|
67.5% | |
|
10º
|
30 | 30 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
|
11º
|
26 | 26 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
25 | 25 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
24 | 24 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
21 | 21 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sud FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 2025 |
SAM
0 - 0
SFC
77%
14%
9%
|
19 | 37 | 18 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2025 |
MON
1 - 0
SFC
78%
14%
8%
|
19 | 39 | 20 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2025 |
SFC
1 - 3
MAR
16%
18%
66%
|
19 | 40 | 21 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2025 |
SCR
1 - 1
SFC
78%
14%
9%
|
19 | 35 | 16 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2025 |
SFC
1 - 2
VIL
27%
22%
52%
|
19 | 28 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Stade Beaucairois
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 2025 |
BEA
1 - 0
MON
44%
27%
30%
|
40 | 39 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2025 |
MAR
2 - 0
BEA
45%
24%
31%
|
41 | 41 | 0 | -1 |
| 01 Feb. 2025 |
LUC
3 - 3
BEA
33%
25%
42%
|
41 | 37 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2025 |
BEA
1 - 1
ESF
48%
25%
27%
|
41 | 37 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2025 |
VIL
2 - 0
BEA
17%
20%
64%
|
44 | 29 | 15 | -3 |