Sud América vs El Tanque Sisley analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.5%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.3%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.8%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.2%
21.3%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sud América
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 2007 |
SUD
1 - 1
CER
38%
28%
35%
|
60 | 67 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2007 |
DUR
1 - 0
SUD
36%
26%
38%
|
61 | 51 | 10 | -1 |
| 28 Mar. 2007 |
CEL
1 - 1
SUD
58%
23%
19%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2007 |
PLA
1 - 4
SUD
46%
27%
27%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | +1 |
| 17 Mar. 2007 |
BAS
0 - 2
SUD
44%
27%
30%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
El Tanque Sisley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2007 |
ETS
1 - 0
FEN
26%
25%
49%
|
56 | 66 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2007 |
ETS
0 - 3
CER
34%
27%
39%
|
57 | 66 | 9 | -1 |
| 28 Mar. 2007 |
ETS
4 - 1
DUR
55%
24%
21%
|
56 | 52 | 4 | +1 |
| 24 Mar. 2007 |
CEL
2 - 2
ETS
67%
20%
13%
|
56 | 66 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2007 |
PLA
2 - 0
ETS
50%
26%
24%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | -1 |