Sud América vs Rocha FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.9%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.4%
3-0
6%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.6%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.2%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.2%
19.9%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.4%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sud América
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2013 |
CSM
1 - 1
SUD
50%
26%
25%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2013 |
SUD
3 - 1
VIL
59%
24%
17%
|
66 | 56 | 10 | +1 |
| 30 Mar. 2013 |
SUD
2 - 0
HFC
47%
27%
26%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | +1 |
| 23 Mar. 2013 |
REN
0 - 1
SUD
50%
26%
25%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2013 |
DEP
0 - 0
SUD
47%
26%
27%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Rocha FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2013 |
DEP
0 - 1
ROC
54%
24%
22%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2013 |
ROC
0 - 0
JUN
44%
25%
31%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | +1 |
| 30 Mar. 2013 |
CSC
2 - 1
ROC
60%
22%
17%
|
59 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2013 |
ROC
1 - 3
PLA
62%
21%
17%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | -2 |
| 16 Mar. 2013 |
BOS
1 - 1
ROC
54%
24%
21%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | 0 |