Sud América vs Rocha FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.6%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.5%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.4%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
26.7%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.6%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sud América
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 2011 |
SUD
1 - 0
VIL
47%
27%
26%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2011 |
SUD
0 - 0
JUV
49%
27%
25%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2011 |
CSM
2 - 0
SUD
42%
27%
32%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | -1 |
| 23 Oct. 2011 |
PRO
1 - 1
SUD
53%
25%
23%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2011 |
SUD
1 - 1
BOS
44%
27%
30%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Rocha FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 2011 |
ROC
3 - 2
TAC
44%
26%
30%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2011 |
ROC
0 - 1
ATE
34%
27%
39%
|
61 | 68 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2011 |
DEP
2 - 2
ROC
64%
21%
16%
|
61 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2011 |
CEN
4 - 0
ROC
63%
21%
16%
|
62 | 71 | 9 | -1 |
| 22 Oct. 2011 |
ROC
3 - 4
CSM
48%
26%
26%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | -1 |