Sud América vs Rocha FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.5%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.7%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.4%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.4%
20.1%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.3%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sud América
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 2009 |
SUD
1 - 0
PRO
22%
25%
53%
|
58 | 70 | 12 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2009 |
REN
1 - 0
SUD
53%
25%
22%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2009 |
CSM
1 - 0
SUD
66%
21%
13%
|
58 | 66 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2009 |
SUD
1 - 3
DUR
40%
27%
33%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2009 |
BOS
0 - 2
SUD
47%
26%
27%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | +2 |
Matches
Rocha FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 2009 |
ROC
0 - 3
REN
39%
26%
35%
|
53 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2009 |
PRO
1 - 1
ROC
78%
15%
7%
|
53 | 70 | 17 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2009 |
ROC
1 - 0
PLA
40%
27%
32%
|
51 | 57 | 6 | +2 |
| 19 Sep. 2009 |
ROC
0 - 0
DEP
35%
27%
37%
|
50 | 58 | 8 | +1 |
| 12 Sep. 2009 |
BVS
1 - 1
ROC
66%
20%
13%
|
49 | 64 | 15 | +1 |