Sud América vs Rocha FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
35%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.6%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.1%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.9%
38.1%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.2%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sud América
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Dec. 2007 |
RAC
1 - 0
SUD
71%
18%
11%
|
56 | 66 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2007 |
CSY
1 - 3
SUD
63%
21%
16%
|
54 | 60 | 6 | +2 |
| 27 Nov. 2007 |
SUD
0 - 0
CSC
28%
28%
45%
|
54 | 63 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2007 |
SUD
2 - 1
DEP
38%
29%
34%
|
53 | 60 | 7 | +1 |
| 17 Nov. 2007 |
SUD
1 - 2
BOS
25%
27%
48%
|
53 | 63 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Rocha FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Dec. 2007 |
ROC
2 - 0
UMO
67%
20%
14%
|
60 | 50 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2007 |
CSC
2 - 2
ROC
50%
26%
24%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2007 |
ROC
2 - 0
BOS
41%
26%
33%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | +1 |
| 24 Nov. 2007 |
ROC
2 - 1
CSY
43%
25%
32%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | +1 |
| 17 Nov. 2007 |
DEP
4 - 0
ROC
49%
25%
26%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | -1 |