Sud América vs Progreso analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.2%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
8%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.2%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
29.4%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
7%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.9%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sud América
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jun. 2021 |
CEL
2 - 1
SUD
46%
27%
27%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 2021 |
SUD
1 - 2
RIV
33%
27%
40%
|
68 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2021 |
LFC
5 - 0
SUD
71%
18%
12%
|
69 | 78 | 9 | -1 |
| 05 Jun. 2021 |
SUD
0 - 0
CSC
41%
27%
32%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2021 |
NAC
1 - 0
SUD
65%
20%
14%
|
70 | 80 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Progreso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jun. 2021 |
DEP
1 - 1
PRO
44%
26%
30%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 2021 |
PRO
0 - 0
CEL
39%
27%
34%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 2021 |
RIV
4 - 0
PRO
58%
23%
19%
|
67 | 72 | 5 | -1 |
| 04 Jun. 2021 |
PRO
1 - 3
LFC
25%
25%
50%
|
68 | 77 | 9 | -1 |
| 29 May. 2021 |
CSC
0 - 0
PRO
49%
25%
26%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | 0 |