Sud América vs Progreso analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
27.6%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.4%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.4%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.1%
26%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
46.4%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
0-1
11.4%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.4%
0-2
8.5%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14%
0-3
4.2%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.1%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
-30%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sud América
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Nov. 2008 |
DUR
0 - 0
SUD
63%
22%
15%
|
56 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2008 |
PLA
0 - 2
SUD
55%
25%
20%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | +1 |
| 01 Nov. 2008 |
SUD
2 - 2
ATE
36%
28%
37%
|
55 | 61 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2008 |
SUD
1 - 2
CSM
28%
28%
45%
|
55 | 66 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2008 |
ETS
1 - 2
SUD
50%
26%
24%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Progreso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Nov. 2008 |
REN
1 - 1
PRO
27%
25%
48%
|
66 | 56 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2008 |
PRO
3 - 0
CSC
53%
24%
23%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | +1 |
| 01 Nov. 2008 |
PLA
2 - 3
PRO
32%
27%
41%
|
65 | 59 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2008 |
BOS
0 - 0
PRO
24%
26%
50%
|
65 | 54 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2008 |
PRO
3 - 1
ROC
66%
20%
15%
|
64 | 57 | 7 | +1 |