Sud América vs Plaza Colonia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.3%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.9%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
25.2%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.9%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sud América
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 May. 2018 |
ORI
1 - 2
SUD
36%
27%
37%
|
71 | 62 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2018 |
SUD
1 - 0
CSM
63%
22%
15%
|
70 | 61 | 9 | +1 |
| 06 May. 2018 |
REN
1 - 1
SUD
45%
26%
29%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2018 |
SUD
2 - 1
VIL
50%
26%
24%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2018 |
CEL
0 - 0
SUD
40%
27%
33%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Plaza Colonia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 May. 2018 |
PLA
1 - 1
ALB
54%
26%
20%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2018 |
CSY
1 - 1
PLA
38%
27%
35%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2018 |
PLA
0 - 0
DEP
55%
26%
20%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2018 |
CSC
2 - 2
PLA
35%
27%
38%
|
70 | 63 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2018 |
ORI
2 - 3
PLA
39%
28%
34%
|
69 | 61 | 8 | +1 |