Sud América vs Plaza Colonia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.8%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.7%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.8%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
25.3%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.1%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sud América
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2017 |
DAN
1 - 0
SUD
60%
23%
17%
|
66 | 74 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2017 |
SUD
1 - 1
JUV
50%
26%
25%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | +1 |
| 12 Sep. 2017 |
CER
2 - 1
SUD
55%
25%
21%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 2017 |
DEF
3 - 2
SUD
65%
22%
14%
|
66 | 77 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2017 |
SUD
1 - 1
JUN
39%
27%
35%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Plaza Colonia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2017 |
PLA
1 - 2
DEF
20%
26%
54%
|
65 | 79 | 14 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2017 |
JUN
2 - 0
PLA
57%
24%
19%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2017 |
PLA
1 - 3
FEN
35%
29%
35%
|
66 | 72 | 6 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 2017 |
NAC
1 - 0
PLA
76%
17%
8%
|
66 | 83 | 17 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2017 |
PLA
1 - 0
MWA
26%
28%
47%
|
66 | 76 | 10 | 0 |