Sud América vs Plaza Colonia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13%
1-0
13%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
27.8%
Draw
0-0
9.9%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.8%
28.2%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.9%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sud América
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 2016 |
MWA
0 - 2
SUD
61%
22%
17%
|
68 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2016 |
SUD
1 - 1
NAC
16%
24%
60%
|
68 | 83 | 15 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2016 |
VIL
0 - 1
SUD
41%
27%
32%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | -1 |
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
SUD
0 - 3
LFC
51%
26%
24%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | -1 |
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
REN
1 - 0
SUD
44%
27%
29%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Plaza Colonia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 2016 |
PLA
1 - 0
FEN
39%
29%
32%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2016 |
DEF
1 - 1
PLA
50%
26%
24%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2016 |
PLA
2 - 1
ETS
50%
26%
24%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | -1 |
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
CER
0 - 0
PLA
51%
26%
23%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2016 |
PLA
1 - 2
JUV
49%
26%
25%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | 0 |