Sud América vs Plaza Colonia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60.7%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.1%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.9%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.8%
1-0
14%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.9%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
23.2%
16.2%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.5%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sud América
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 2010 |
REN
1 - 0
SUD
57%
23%
20%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2010 |
SUD
0 - 0
DEP
47%
27%
26%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2010 |
CSC
4 - 1
SUD
69%
19%
12%
|
64 | 74 | 10 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2010 |
SUD
0 - 2
ROC
55%
24%
21%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2010 |
ATE
3 - 1
SUD
53%
25%
22%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Plaza Colonia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 2010 |
JUV
2 - 0
PLA
70%
19%
11%
|
58 | 67 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2010 |
PLA
1 - 0
ATE
28%
25%
47%
|
58 | 68 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2010 |
ROC
1 - 0
PLA
58%
24%
18%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2010 |
PLA
1 - 1
CEL
29%
26%
45%
|
57 | 67 | 10 | +1 |
| 23 Oct. 2010 |
PLA
3 - 1
HFC
27%
27%
46%
|
54 | 68 | 14 | +3 |