Sud América vs Juventud analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.9%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.4%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
27.5%
Draw
0-0
9.5%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.5%
27.7%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.6%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sud América
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2011 |
HFC
1 - 1
SUD
55%
25%
20%
|
62 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2010 |
DUR
2 - 2
SUD
48%
25%
27%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2010 |
SUD
0 - 2
CEL
34%
27%
39%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | -1 |
| 04 Dec. 2010 |
BOS
5 - 3
SUD
44%
28%
28%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | -1 |
| 27 Nov. 2010 |
SUD
2 - 1
PLA
61%
23%
16%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Juventud
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2011 |
JUV
1 - 3
CSC
34%
27%
40%
|
66 | 76 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2010 |
JUV
1 - 2
BOS
57%
24%
20%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2010 |
JUV
0 - 2
DUR
65%
20%
15%
|
67 | 60 | 7 | -1 |
| 04 Dec. 2010 |
REN
2 - 0
JUV
53%
25%
22%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | -1 |
| 27 Nov. 2010 |
HFC
0 - 1
JUV
57%
25%
18%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | 0 |