Sud América vs Fénix analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
21.6%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.5%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.4%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
5.4%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.4%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.1%
53.3%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
0-1
13%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.1%
0-2
10.4%
1-3
5%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.4%
0-3
5.5%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.8%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.9%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sud América
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Nov. 2008 |
SUD
2 - 3
PRO
28%
26%
46%
|
56 | 66 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2008 |
DUR
0 - 0
SUD
63%
22%
15%
|
56 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2008 |
PLA
0 - 2
SUD
55%
25%
20%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | +1 |
| 01 Nov. 2008 |
SUD
2 - 2
ATE
36%
28%
37%
|
55 | 61 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2008 |
SUD
1 - 2
CSM
28%
28%
45%
|
55 | 66 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Fénix
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Nov. 2008 |
FEN
3 - 2
DUR
66%
21%
13%
|
71 | 60 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2008 |
FEN
2 - 1
LUZ
71%
19%
10%
|
70 | 58 | 12 | +1 |
| 08 Nov. 2008 |
BOS
0 - 1
FEN
19%
24%
57%
|
70 | 54 | 16 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2008 |
CSC
1 - 3
FEN
40%
26%
33%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2008 |
FEN
2 - 1
REN
69%
20%
12%
|
69 | 56 | 13 | +1 |