Sud América vs Defensor Sporting analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
28.8%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.3%
2-0
5%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.6%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
+1
18.2%
28%
Draw
0-0
10.1%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28%
43.2%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
13%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
23.5%
0-2
8.4%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.7%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sud América
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Nov. 2013 |
SUD
0 - 1
MWA
39%
27%
34%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2013 |
RIV
2 - 2
SUD
72%
18%
10%
|
68 | 78 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2013 |
SUD
2 - 1
PEÑ
16%
22%
62%
|
67 | 81 | 14 | +1 |
| 03 Nov. 2013 |
ETS
1 - 1
SUD
53%
25%
22%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2013 |
SUD
1 - 0
RAC
43%
27%
30%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Defensor Sporting
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Nov. 2013 |
REN
6 - 5
DEF
30%
28%
42%
|
77 | 66 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2013 |
DEF
0 - 1
ETS
67%
21%
13%
|
78 | 69 | 9 | -1 |
| 07 Nov. 2013 |
DEF
5 - 3
NAC
36%
26%
37%
|
77 | 83 | 6 | +1 |
| 02 Nov. 2013 |
RAC
1 - 0
DEF
32%
28%
40%
|
78 | 67 | 11 | -1 |
| 26 Oct. 2013 |
DEF
1 - 3
DAN
59%
23%
18%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | 0 |