Sud América vs Cerro Largo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
34.4%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.5%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.7%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.9%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.9%
38.7%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.4%
0-2
6.9%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.3%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.4%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sud América
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Dec. 2010 |
BOS
5 - 3
SUD
44%
28%
28%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2010 |
SUD
2 - 1
PLA
61%
23%
16%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2010 |
REN
1 - 0
SUD
57%
23%
20%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2010 |
SUD
0 - 0
DEP
47%
27%
26%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2010 |
CSC
4 - 1
SUD
69%
19%
12%
|
64 | 74 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Cerro Largo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Dec. 2010 |
CSC
1 - 1
CEL
64%
21%
15%
|
69 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2010 |
CEL
0 - 3
REN
54%
25%
21%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | -1 |
| 20 Nov. 2010 |
CEL
0 - 0
HFC
49%
27%
25%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2010 |
JUV
0 - 1
CEL
48%
25%
27%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2010 |
CEL
4 - 2
ATE
44%
27%
29%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | +2 |