Sud América vs Central Español FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
30.6%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.7%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.3%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.9%
27.8%
Draw
0-0
9.6%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.8%
41.5%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
12.3%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
22.8%
0-2
7.9%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.2%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.7%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+31%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sud América
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov. 2011 |
SUD
1 - 0
ROC
48%
26%
27%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2011 |
SUD
1 - 0
VIL
47%
27%
26%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | +1 |
| 06 Nov. 2011 |
SUD
0 - 0
JUV
49%
27%
25%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2011 |
CSM
2 - 0
SUD
42%
27%
32%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | -1 |
| 23 Oct. 2011 |
PRO
1 - 1
SUD
53%
25%
23%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Central Español FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov. 2011 |
ATE
2 - 3
CEN
45%
26%
29%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2011 |
CEN
1 - 1
JUV
68%
21%
12%
|
71 | 64 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2011 |
CEN
3 - 2
DEP
57%
25%
18%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2011 |
HFC
1 - 0
CEN
43%
28%
29%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2011 |
CEN
4 - 0
ROC
63%
21%
16%
|
71 | 62 | 9 | 0 |