Sud América vs Basáñez analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.1%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.6%
3-0
6%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.9%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.3%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.5%
20.5%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.4%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sud América
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 2006 |
LUZ
1 - 0
SUD
32%
27%
42%
|
63 | 55 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2006 |
CER
2 - 0
SUD
54%
24%
22%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | -1 |
| 15 Oct. 2006 |
SUD
2 - 0
UMO
59%
22%
19%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | +1 |
| 10 Oct. 2006 |
SUD
0 - 0
CEL
49%
25%
26%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2006 |
SUD
3 - 2
PLA
59%
23%
18%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Basáñez
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 2006 |
BAS
1 - 1
CER
36%
27%
37%
|
59 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2006 |
CEL
1 - 0
BAS
58%
23%
19%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | -1 |
| 10 Oct. 2006 |
BAS
3 - 1
DUR
57%
23%
20%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | +1 |
| 07 Oct. 2006 |
FEN
0 - 1
BAS
61%
22%
17%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | +1 |
| 30 Sep. 2006 |
ETS
1 - 1
BAS
53%
24%
23%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | -2 |