Sud América vs Atenas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
32.9%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.3%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.2%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.2%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
40.6%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.8%
0-2
7.2%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.8%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sud América
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2011 |
SUD
2 - 2
JUV
45%
27%
28%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2011 |
HFC
1 - 1
SUD
55%
25%
20%
|
62 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2010 |
DUR
2 - 2
SUD
48%
25%
27%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2010 |
SUD
0 - 2
CEL
34%
27%
39%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | -1 |
| 04 Dec. 2010 |
BOS
5 - 3
SUD
44%
28%
28%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Atenas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2011 |
ATE
2 - 1
ROC
62%
21%
16%
|
69 | 62 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2011 |
BOS
1 - 1
ATE
37%
27%
36%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2010 |
REN
1 - 1
ATE
47%
25%
28%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2010 |
ATE
2 - 4
CSC
41%
27%
32%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | -1 |
| 04 Dec. 2010 |
ATE
3 - 0
HFC
50%
26%
24%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | +1 |