Sucre FC vs Unión Magdalena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39.8%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.5%
1-0
12%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.3%
28%
Draw
0-0
9.6%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
28%
32.2%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.5%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8.8%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sucre FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Sep. 2007 |
SAB
1 - 0
SFC
45%
27%
27%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2007 |
CEN
0 - 1
SFC
47%
28%
25%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | +1 |
| 26 Aug. 2007 |
SFC
1 - 0
AFC
43%
27%
30%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2007 |
SFC
1 - 1
TFC
47%
26%
27%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2007 |
ALI
1 - 1
SFC
35%
27%
38%
|
58 | 46 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Unión Magdalena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Sep. 2007 |
UNI
2 - 1
ALI
66%
22%
13%
|
64 | 48 | 16 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2007 |
UNI
2 - 0
ABE
54%
25%
22%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | +1 |
| 25 Aug. 2007 |
ENV
1 - 0
UNI
56%
25%
19%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | -1 |
| 23 Aug. 2007 |
UNI
1 - 1
BOG
51%
26%
23%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2007 |
BAR
0 - 0
UNI
51%
25%
23%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |