Sucre FC vs Deportes Tolima analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
17.8%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.1%
2-0
2.6%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.3%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
4.7%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.2%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.1%
59.1%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
0-1
12.8%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.3%
0-2
11.3%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.3%
0-3
6.7%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
9.7%
0-4
3%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sucre FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 May. 2009 |
COR
1 - 0
SFC
53%
25%
23%
|
58 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2009 |
SFC
0 - 1
COR
36%
26%
38%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2009 |
SFC
0 - 3
BUC
29%
25%
46%
|
59 | 69 | 10 | -1 |
| 20 May. 2009 |
FOR
1 - 0
SFC
51%
23%
26%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | -1 |
| 16 May. 2009 |
RIO
3 - 1
SFC
53%
25%
22%
|
60 | 69 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Deportes Tolima
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 May. 2009 |
TOL
3 - 1
ONC
47%
26%
27%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2009 |
CHI
0 - 0
TOL
39%
27%
35%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2009 |
TOL
0 - 0
EQU
46%
27%
27%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2009 |
TOL
0 - 1
PER
54%
24%
22%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | -1 |
| 17 May. 2009 |
TOL
1 - 0
JUN
38%
28%
34%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | +1 |