Suchitepequez vs Nueva Concepción analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.6%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.4%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.4%
1-0
8%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.4%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
11%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
31.6%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.5%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9.1%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
+20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Suchitepequez
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
VEN
2 - 1
SOL
41%
25%
35%
|
47 | 50 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
PUE
3 - 2
VEN
30%
25%
45%
|
48 | 43 | 5 | -1 |
| 24 Aug. 2022 |
VEN
3 - 1
LEO
50%
25%
25%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | +1 |
| 18 Aug. 2022 |
QUI
1 - 1
VEN
38%
27%
34%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2022 |
VEN
1 - 1
SJF
47%
24%
29%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Nueva Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 2022 |
CAT
1 - 0
NUE
40%
24%
36%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2022 |
NUE
2 - 1
COA
48%
24%
29%
|
49 | 49 | 0 | +1 |
| 24 Aug. 2022 |
NUE
3 - 2
SOL
39%
25%
36%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | +1 |
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
PUE
1 - 1
NUE
28%
24%
47%
|
48 | 44 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2022 |
NUE
4 - 0
LEO
46%
26%
28%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | +1 |