Suchitepequez vs Nueva Concepción analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.3%
Win probability
2.17
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.2%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.8%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
7%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.8%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.4%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
9%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.3%
20.5%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.5%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+23%
+17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Suchitepequez
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 2020 |
SOL
1 - 0
VEN
31%
25%
45%
|
49 | 44 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2020 |
VEN
2 - 0
LEO
58%
21%
21%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | +1 |
| 05 Mar. 2020 |
XIN
0 - 1
VEN
62%
21%
17%
|
46 | 52 | 6 | +2 |
| 01 Mar. 2020 |
SOL
2 - 0
VEN
36%
24%
40%
|
48 | 45 | 3 | -2 |
| 23 Feb. 2020 |
COA
1 - 1
VEN
45%
24%
31%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Nueva Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 2020 |
NUE
0 - 3
COA
53%
23%
24%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2020 |
NUE
0 - 0
COA
50%
24%
27%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2020 |
LEO
4 - 3
NUE
39%
26%
35%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | -1 |
| 01 Mar. 2020 |
NUE
4 - 0
QUI
42%
25%
34%
|
47 | 50 | 3 | +2 |
| 26 Feb. 2020 |
CHI
1 - 2
NUE
44%
26%
30%
|
46 | 47 | 1 | +1 |