SUBT vs VESTA analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
34.8%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.3%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
4%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.2%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.3%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
41.8%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.2%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
12.5%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.9%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SUBT
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jun. 2021 |
SUB
0 - 1
HOL
31%
23%
46%
|
24 | 32 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 2021 |
BAR
2 - 1
SUB
75%
15%
10%
|
25 | 32 | 7 | -1 |
| 14 Mar. 2021 |
SUB
1 - 1
SIT
28%
21%
51%
|
24 | 32 | 8 | +1 |
| 06 Aug. 2020 |
VIC
2 - 1
SUB
63%
20%
16%
|
25 | 31 | 6 | -1 |
| 31 Jul. 2020 |
SUB
0 - 2
SCH
16%
26%
59%
|
26 | 49 | 23 | -1 |
Matches
VESTA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jun. 2021 |
SVV
0 - 2
VIC
44%
24%
32%
|
29 | 30 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 2021 |
DOM
3 - 1
SVV
58%
20%
22%
|
31 | 31 | 0 | -2 |
| 14 Mar. 2021 |
SVV
0 - 2
HOL
46%
24%
31%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | -1 |
| 08 Nov. 2020 |
SCH
1 - 0
SVV
43%
26%
32%
|
42 | 43 | 1 | -10 |
| 29 Oct. 2020 |
SVV
3 - 0
SCH
39%
28%
34%
|
41 | 45 | 4 | +1 |