SUBT vs VESTA analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
22.2%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.9%
2-0
3%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.9%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.7%
22%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22%
55.7%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.1%
0-2
8.6%
1-3
6.3%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
17%
0-3
5.5%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.4%
0-4
2.7%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.1%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SUBT
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2019 |
VIC
1 - 1
SUB
64%
20%
16%
|
30 | 37 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2019 |
SUB
3 - 0
COL
63%
19%
18%
|
29 | 24 | 5 | +1 |
| 16 Feb. 2019 |
SUB
2 - 3
SCH
22%
28%
50%
|
30 | 47 | 17 | -1 |
| 03 Feb. 2019 |
DOM
2 - 0
SUB
82%
12%
7%
|
30 | 43 | 13 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2019 |
SUB
0 - 2
INW
34%
22%
44%
|
32 | 38 | 6 | -2 |
Matches
VESTA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2019 |
SVV
1 - 0
SCH
35%
28%
37%
|
41 | 48 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2019 |
DOM
3 - 2
SVV
59%
21%
20%
|
41 | 44 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2019 |
SVV
1 - 1
UND
49%
24%
27%
|
41 | 40 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2019 |
BAR
3 - 3
SVV
50%
23%
27%
|
41 | 40 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2019 |
HOL
2 - 1
SVV
45%
26%
29%
|
42 | 43 | 1 | -1 |