SUBT vs VESTA analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.7%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.8%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.5%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
25.7%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.5%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SUBT
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 May. 2016 |
DOM
3 - 1
SUB
60%
21%
20%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2016 |
SUB
1 - 1
HOL
51%
24%
25%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2016 |
HUB
2 - 2
SUB
52%
23%
25%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2016 |
SUB
2 - 2
SCH
54%
21%
25%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2015 |
SUB
2 - 1
COL
44%
23%
33%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
VESTA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 May. 2016 |
HOL
2 - 4
SVV
47%
26%
27%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2016 |
SVV
2 - 3
HUB
49%
24%
27%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2016 |
SVV
1 - 2
SCH
52%
22%
27%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2016 |
BAR
2 - 0
SVV
62%
20%
18%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2014 |
SIT
1 - 1
SVV
50%
25%
26%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |